Who Will Win???

Who do you predict is going to win the 2009 MLB Home Run Derby (tonight at 8:00 est.)?


1 >2>3>4

5>6>7>8

NATIONAL LEAGUE
1: Albert Pujols, St. Louis Cardinals, 1st Base: .332 BA, 32 HR (leads league), 87 RBI
2: Prince Fielder, Milwaukee Brewers, 1st Base: .315 BA, 22 HR, 78 RBI
3: Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego Padres, 1st Base: .250 BA, 24 HR, 52 RBI
4: Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies, 1st Base: .257 BA, 22 HR, 67 RBI

AMERICAN LEAGUE
5: Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay Rays, 1st Base: .228 BA, 24 HR (leads AL), 58 RBI
6: Brandon Inge, Detroit Tigers, 3rd Base: .268 BA, 21 HR, 58 RBI
7: Nelson Cruz, Texas Rangers, Right Field: .263 BA, 22 HR, 53 RBI
8: Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins, Catcher: .373 BA, 15 HR, 49 RBI

So, who will win?

Here is my prediction:

1st Round Eliminations: Inge, Mauer, Gonzalez, Cruz
2nd Round Eliminations: Pena, Howard
3rd Round Elimination: Fielder
Winner: Pujols
Why?: Pujols has the best advantage out of these players in the derby. He is at home, with his fans cheering him on. Inge, Mauer, Gonzalez, and Cruz have never been in this, and I don't think they have the power to do so. Pena on the other hand does have that power, and you could argue about Gonzalez, but I have never watched Gonzalez play before, and I see Pena crank em' out against the Yankees all the time. I think Prince Fielder will find a way to sneak into the finals, but will lose to Pujols.

Some interesting things about this year's derby:
1- 5 out of the 8 contestants in the show are 1st Baseman (All 4 are in National League)
2- No huge name team player (Yankees, Red Sox, Mets)

So, thanks for looking, and I want to know what you think. You can simply tell me who you think will win, or do what I did. Imagine if I got that bracket exactly right! See Ya!